1NatCap

Government Incentives:
Tax Credits and Energy Attributes

Overview

Governments already pay for environmental performance. Tax credits, renewable attributes, and their European equivalents are statutory entitlements with registries, documentation standards, and observable prices. This vertical monetizes what the platform’s own projects generate, then trades the same instruments for third parties.

A statutory market, not a voluntary one: Section 6418 of the Internal Revenue Code allows qualifying clean-energy and carbon-management credits to be sold for cash to unrelated taxpayers. The buyer receives a reduction in federal tax liability, not an environmental claim. Transferability survived the 2025 tax legislation intact, and the market has continued to price and clear through the change.

Our verticals are the supply: Methane and carbon-management projects generate 45Q. Renewable natural gas and clean fuels generate 45Z. Renewable siting and agrivoltaics on land the platform owns generate investment and production credits. 1NatCap is a natural seller into this market before it is a participant in it, which is the correct order.

The same mechanic travels across jurisdictions: A government creates an attribute, separates it from the physical product, and requires or incentivizes its retirement. That is Section 6418 in the United States, Renewable Energy Certificates under state portfolio standards, and Guarantees of Origin across the European Union and EEA. Different statutes, one instrument design.

Instruments

Instrument What It Is
Section 45Q. Carbon oxide sequestration Per-tonne credit for captured and stored or utilized carbon. Directly generated by the methane and carbon-management vertical. Carries a recapture period that must be underwritten.
Section 45Z. Clean fuel production Per-gallon-equivalent credit scaled to carbon intensity. Applies to renewable natural gas, biodiesel, and renewable diesel. Proposed regulations issued February 2026 removed much of the pricing uncertainty.
Sections 48E and 45Y. Technology-neutral ITC and PTC Investment and production credits for generation assets. Relevant to renewable siting on owned agricultural land. Phase-out schedules vary by technology and placed-in-service date.
Section 45X. Advanced manufacturing Per-unit credit for domestic component production. Typically transacted in multi-year strips.
RECs and SRECs One certificate per MWh of qualifying generation. Compliance demand set by state portfolio standards, with voluntary demand from corporate procurement.
Guarantees of Origin The European equivalent, issued and transferred through national registries under the Association of Issuing Bodies. Demand is gated by supplier disclosure obligations under the Renewable Energy Directive and corporate reporting requirements.

Market Context

Metric Reference Value
US transferable tax credit volume $32 billion in 2024, rising to ~$42 billion in 2025.
Typical clearing price $0.90 to $0.95 per dollar of face value, with wider dispersion for non-investment-grade sellers and newer credit types.
2025 credits carried into 2026 An estimated $8 to $10 billion unsold as of year-end.
European Guarantees of Origin issued (2025) More than 1,094 TWh issued, with approximately 978 TWh cancelled.
U.S. voluntary renewable-energy procurement ~319 million MWh annually based on the latest comprehensive NREL market estimate, alongside separate compliance REC markets driven by RPS mandates in 28 states and D.C.

Our Approach

Internal supply first: Credits generated inside the platform are registered, documented, and monetized through this vertical rather than sold away at the project level. The margin stays in the group.

Principal, not brokerage: We take positions in credits and attributes, warehouse them, and sell forward, in the same way Merchant Markets holds physical and contractual exposure. Agency transactions are a service line, not the business model.

Diligence and risk transfer discipline: Pre-filing registration, eligible basis substantiation, chain of title, seller indemnity, and tax insurance where the counterparty credit does not carry the recapture exposure on its own. Foreign entity restrictions introduced in 2025 are screened at intake.

Timing and basis: Credits are dated, jurisdictional, and seasonal. Value accrues to the party that can hold across tax years, aggregate small sellers into transactable size, and price the spread between forward commitment and spot.

Separation from outcome instruments: A tax credit is a domestic fiscal entitlement. A Renewable Energy Certificate is an attribute claim. An Article 6 mitigation outcome is neither. They are documented, sold, and retired separately, and never stacked in a way that represents the same environmental result twice.

Exclusions

Sellers unwilling to provide customary indemnity or support tax insurance.
Credits without clean registration, documented eligible basis, and unencumbered chain of title.
Projects that fail the platform’s commercial test. A credit does not make an uneconomic project financeable.
Retail or non-institutional placement of any kind.

Why This Sits Inside the Platform

Every operating vertical on this platform produces government-created attributes as a by-product of doing the primary business. A methane capture project produces 45Q. An RNG upgrade produces 45Z. Solar sited on owned farmland produces investment credits and RECs. Most operators sell those attributes once, early, at whatever the first buyer offers, because monetizing them is not their business. It is ours. The vertical exists because a platform that already owns the projects, the registry infrastructure, and the pricing data has a structural advantage in a market where the discount to face value is the entire margin, and because the same desk that clears its own supply can clear everyone else’s.

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